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Who will be Brazilian defense minister after the election?

“José Múcio Monteiro” 11%, “Cinara Wagner Fredo” 0% and “Carlos Alberto dos Santos Cruz” 0% on Kalshi as of 22:14 UTC on 12 Nov 2026: “José Múcio Monteiro” leads “Who will be Brazilian defense minister after the election?” out of 8 outcomes. The event has $99 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Predict.

Kalshi·Elections·ends Jul 1, 2027
event8 outcomes
vol cum
$99
vol 24h
$99
outcomes
8
ends
Jul 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8
marketselected outcome
José Múcio Monteiro
rank #1
Brazil
11¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$99
vol 24h
$99
spread
0.10
ends
Jul 1, 2027

If José Múcio Monteiro formally takes office as Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Nov 2, 2026opencloses · Jul 1, 2027
José Múcio Monteiro · prices over time
−24h
now
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