Will Trump pardon a Cabinet member?
As of 02:23 UTC on 29 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Trump pardon a Cabinet member?” at 85%. The market has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.
If a sitting member of Trump's Cabinet has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve after Issuance and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date. For purposes of this Contract, a member of Trump's Cabinet refers to the Vice President and any official listed as a member of the Cabinet on the White House's Cabinet page at the time of the pardon. A pardon counts even if the recipient has not been charged with a crime, even if the recipient rejects it, and even if it covers the recipient by role, agency, or policy area without naming them. The following do NOT count: grants made before Issuance, including Proclamation 10989 of Nov 7, 2025; grants that cover the recipient only by describing conduct, without naming them or their role, agency, or policy area; pardons granted after the recipient has left the Cabinet; officials serving in an acting capacity, even if listed on the White House's Cabinet page; state pardons.
