What is the current probability for "Will Canada inflation be above Euro Area inflation in July?"?

"Yes" is currently 45% (+15pp in the last 24h) on Kalshi, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/19/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCANEUINFL-26AUG19. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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marketsingle market

Will Canada inflation be above Euro Area inflation in July?

·Economy

CanadaEuropean Union

45%

▲ 15.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$741

vol 24h

$405

spread

0.08

ends

Aug 19, 2026

Yes 45¢

No 55¢

If Canada Inflation Rate YoY is above Euro Area Inflation Rate YoY for July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Only the first non-preliminary value reported for each measure will be used. For the Euro Area, any flash or preliminary estimate does not qualify. The values will be compared as published in percent. A tie resolves No, and subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.

timeline

opened · Jul 27, 2026opencloses · Aug 19, 2026

Canada higher · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · 24h windows

no volume history