What is the current probability for "Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026": 3.1%+ 59%, <1.0% 40%, 1.6–1.8% 35% (top 3 of 9 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/19/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/147795. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event9 outcomes

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Q: When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/19/2027.

Q: How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Q: Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/147795. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

·Economy·ends Jan 19, 2027

vol cum

$13.2k

vol 24h

$11

outcomes

ends

Jan 19, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 9

Macro IndicatorsEconomyeuInflationCPIEurope

marketselected outcome

3.1%+

rank #1

European Union

59¢

▲ 1.6pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.3k

vol 24h

spread

0.17

ends

Jan 19, 2027

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report. The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html

timeline

opened · Jan 22, 2026opencloses · Jan 19, 2027

prices over time · 3.1%+ highlighted

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history