Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026?

·Economy

United States

This market resolves YES if the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate for the United States is 3% or higher for the calendar year 2026 (Dec 2026 price level compared to Dec 2025). The resolution will be based on the 12-month headline CPI inflation rate published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) at https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm. Goes by the headline figure, typically rounded to 1 decimal. I will use most suitable replacement if BLS stops publishing this statistic or if it is widely treated as unreliable measure of inflation. I will bet in this market. If we hit ambiguity around reliability will agree with a group of representative YES and NO holders.