What is the current probability for "Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026": 0-1.0% 71%, 1.0-2.0% 16%, <0% 8% (top 3 of 9 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/31/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/166465. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event9 outcomes

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Q: When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/31/2027.

Q: How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Q: Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/166465. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

·Economy·ends Jan 31, 2027

vol cum

$25.5k

vol 24h

$244

outcomes

ends

Jan 31, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 9

Macro IndicatorsGDPEconomyEuropeEuro Area

marketselected outcome

0-1.0%

rank #1

European Union

71¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$9.7k

vol 24h

$61

spread

0.00

ends

Jan 31, 2027

This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

timeline

opened · Jan 22, 2026opencloses · Jan 31, 2027

0-1.0% · prices over time

−24h

now

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