opentrade on
↗
event4 outcomes
State of the economy at the end of 2026
vol cum
$87.7k
vol 24h
$2.5k
outcomes
4
ends
Jan 14, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Soft landing
rank #1
59¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$23.4k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.00
ends
Jan 14, 2027
If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Feb 25, 2026opencloses · Jan 14, 2027
Soft landing · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdataUS economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)42¢▼ 1.0ppSoft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)56¢▲ 0.5ppStagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)4¢▲ 0.2pp
+1 others
$124 24h · 4 markets
US GDP Growth in 2026?
4.6 to 5.093¢4.1 to 4.593¢3.6 to 4.045¢
+7 others
$0 24h · 10 markets
US recession by end of 2026?
yes6¢· 0.0pp
$0 24h · 1 market
US Nominal GDP in 2026
Above $32.4 trillion61¢· 0.0ppAbove $31.2 trillion98¢Above $31.4 trillion98¢
+18 others
$2 24h · 21 markets
US recession in 2026?
yes8¢
M0 24h · 1 market
GDP growth in 2026
1.5–2.0%45¢▼ 0.1pp2.0–2.5%47¢· 0.0pp<0.5%3¢▲ 0.3pp
+3 others
$204 24h · 6 markets