Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?
As of 18:24 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?” at 9%. The market has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold and Opinion.
If Statistics Canada reports that the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 is greater than 20% compared with 2025 in its "Travel between Canada and other countries, December 2026" release, then the market resolves to Yes.
The relevant figure is the full-year 2026 year-over-year percentage change for “Canadian-resident return trips from the United States,” as stated in Statistics Canada’s release text or related tables. If Statistics Canada does not publish a full-year percentage-change figure for 2026, the market will resolve using the percentage change calculated from Statistics Canada’s annual table for the same series.
