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US recession in 2026?

Manifold·Economy
United States
8%
vol cum
M109.1k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
YES 8¢
NO 92¢

Resolves yes if there are two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth in the United States from Q1 2026 to Q4 2026 inclusive, according to advance estimates from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Otherwise resolves no.

timeline
opened · Sep 3, 2025opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
US recession in 2026? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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