Question 1

What is the current probability for "How many Senators vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "How many Senators vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?": Above 53 75%, Above 57 50%, Above 60 32% (top 3 of 4 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 1/1/2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCLAYTONCOUNT-27. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.