Question 1

What is the current probability for "When will Jay Clayton be confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "When will Jay Clayton be confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?": Before Aug 1, 2026 99%, Before Aug 8, 2026 99%, Before Jul 18, 2026 1% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 8/15/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCLAYTONCONF-26JUN11. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

When will Jay Clayton be confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

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