Will JD Vance become President of the US before November 1, 2028?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 02:36 UTC on 13 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will JD Vance become President of the US before November 1, 2028?” at 12%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

12%

vol cum

M36.1k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Nov 2, 2028

Update 2025-23-01 (PST): - Temporary power transfers are not considered when determining if JD Vance becomes President before November 1, 2028. (AI summary of creator comment)