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event5 outcomes

US imports of goods from China in 2026

Kalshi·Economy·ends Feb 11, 2027

As of 21:34 UTC on 17 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 5 markets in “US imports of goods from China in 2026” on Kalshi are “Below $300 billion” at 93%, “Below $280 billion” at 59% and “Below $260 billion” at 26%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Gemini, Opinion and Manifold.

vol cum
$4.2k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
5
ends
Feb 11, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Below $300 billion
rank #1
United StatesChina
93¢
vol cum
$711
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.07
ends
Feb 11, 2027

If U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are below $300 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Apr 2, 2026opencloses · Feb 11, 2027
Below $300 billion · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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