Question 1

What is the current probability for "US imports of goods from China in 2026"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "US imports of goods from China in 2026": Below $300 billion 92%, Below $280 billion 81%, Below $260 billion 59% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 2/11/2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

US imports of goods from China in 2026

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