Question 1

What is the current probability for "Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?": Morgan McGarvey 27%, Ron Wyden 21%, Roger Williams 9% (top 3 of 10 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 12/31/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCONGRESSTRADES-25. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?

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