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event19 outcomes

2028 Republican nominee?

Manifold·Politics·ends Sep 6, 2028

As of 02:07 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, “JD Vance” leads “2028 Republican nominee?” on Manifold at 46%, followed by “Marco Rubio” at 18% and “Other” at 12%, out of 19 outcomes. The event has M$248 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Gemini, Limitless, Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
M984.2k
vol 24h
M248
outcomes
19
ends
Sep 6, 2028
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 19

Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially nominated by the Republican Party for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as confirmed by the party's official announcement or at the Republican National Convention. If no candidate is nominated, it will resolve to "No."

politics-defaultus-politicsdonald-trumpmagaland2028-us-presidential-election-6tdsp26zly
marketselected outcome
JD Vance
rank #1
United States
46¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M141.5k
vol 24h
M8
spread
n/a
ends
Sep 6, 2028
timeline
opened · Sep 14, 2024opencloses · Sep 6, 2028
JD Vance · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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