2028 Republican nominee?
Source: manifold·Event ID: vgw5ckzp3z·Ends:
Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially nominated by the Republican Party for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as confirmed by the party's official announcement or at the Republican National Convention. If no candidate is nominated, it will resolve to "No."
Markets
JD Vance
- YES: 41¢
- NO: 59¢
Marco Rubio
- YES: 24¢
- NO: 76¢
Other
- YES: 13¢
- NO: 87¢
Tucker Carlson
- YES: 5¢
- NO: 95¢
Ron Desantis
- YES: 3¢
- NO: 97¢
Donald Trump Sr.
- YES: 2¢
- NO: 98¢
Marjorie Taylor Greene
- YES: 2¢
- NO: 98¢
Donald Trump Jr
- YES: 5¢
- NO: 95¢
Ted Cruz
- YES: 1¢
- NO: 99¢
Glenn Youngkin
- YES: 1¢
- NO: 99¢
Nick Fuentes
- YES: 1¢
- NO: 99¢
Nikki Haley
- YES: 1¢
- NO: 99¢
Vivek Ramaswamy
- YES: 1¢
- NO: 99¢
Greg Abbott
- YES: 1¢
- NO: 99¢
Tulsi Gabbard
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Paul Ryan
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢