event19 outcomes
2028 Republican nominee?
Manifold·Politics·ends Sep 6, 2028
As of 02:07 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, “JD Vance” leads “2028 Republican nominee?” on Manifold at 46%, followed by “Marco Rubio” at 18% and “Other” at 12%, out of 19 outcomes. The event has M$248 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Gemini, Limitless, Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

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M984.2k
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M248
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Sep 6, 2028
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Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially nominated by the Republican Party for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as confirmed by the party's official announcement or at the Republican National Convention. If no candidate is nominated, it will resolve to "No."
politics-defaultus-politicsdonald-trumpmagaland2028-us-presidential-election-6tdsp26zly