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event38 outcomes

Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?

Manifold·Politics·ends Feb 20, 2029

As of 00:56 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, “JD Vance” leads “Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?” on Manifold at 44%, followed by “Marco Rubio” at 18% (+1pp in 24h) and “Other” at 16%, out of 38 outcomes. The event has M$179 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Gemini, Limitless, Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
M1.1M
vol 24h
M179
outcomes
38
ends
Feb 20, 2029
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 38

Resolves to 100% whoever is chosen as the nominee at the Republican National Convention in 2028 Resolves to "None" if no one is nominated or if their is no convention. If for some reason the convention is postponed then this market resolves to whoever is nominated in the postponed convention. Unless the "postponed" convention takes place in or after 2032, in which case it resolves "None" Remember to bet for "Other". Any shares held in "Other" give you free shares for answers subsequently added

politics-defaultus-politics2028-us-presidential-election-6tdsp26zlymagaland
marketselected outcome
JD Vance
rank #1
United States
44¢
▼ 0.4pp
24h change
vol cum
M160k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Feb 20, 2029
timeline
opened · Jul 12, 2024opencloses · Feb 20, 2029
JD Vance · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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