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Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026?

Kalshi·Economy

As of 01:40 UTC on 25 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026?” at 2%. The market has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold, Opinion and Limitless.

2%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$41.3k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.03
ends
Dec 17, 2026
Yes 2¢
No 98¢

If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that year-over-year Core CPI inflation is below 2.2% in any remaining 2026 monthly CPI release after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market covers only CPI releases scheduled to occur in calendar year 2026 and does not include the CPI release scheduled for January 2027, even though that release may report December 2026 data. The last covered CPI release is the November 2026 CPI release, scheduled for Thursday, December 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET.

timeline
opened · Apr 21, 2026opencloses · Dec 17, 2026
Yes · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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