marketsingle market
Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026?
16%
▼ 4.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$33k
vol 24h
$101
spread
0.03
ends
Dec 17, 2026
Yes 16¢
No 84¢
If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that year-over-year Core CPI inflation is below 2.2% in any remaining 2026 monthly CPI release after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market covers only CPI releases scheduled to occur in calendar year 2026 and does not include the CPI release scheduled for January 2027, even though that release may report December 2026 data. The last covered CPI release is the November 2026 CPI release, scheduled for Thursday, December 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET.
timeline
opened · Apr 21, 2026opencloses · Dec 17, 2026