What is the current probability for "Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)" are Above 3.1% 93%, Above 3.2% 91%, Above 3.3% 62% — 6 of 26 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Dec 11, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCPIYOY-26AUG. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event26 outcomes

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

·Economy·ends Dec 11, 2026

vol cum

$613.3k

vol 24h

$23.6k

outcomes

ends

Dec 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 26

marketselected outcome

Above 2.5%

rank #1

99¢

vol cum

$32.8k

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Dec 11, 2026

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 2.5% in the twelve months ending August 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 20, 2026opencloses · Dec 11, 2026

Above 2.5% · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history