What is the current probability for "India Annual Inflation 2026"?

Current Polymarket odds for "India Annual Inflation 2026": 4.50%+ 89%, 3.75% to 4.49% 10%, <0.75% 4% (top 3 of 7 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/12/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/201560. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event7 outcomes

India Annual Inflation 2026

Q: When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/12/2027.

Q: How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Q: Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/201560. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

·Economy·ends Jan 12, 2027

vol cum

$61.3k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jan 12, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

IndiaMacro IndicatorsCPIEconomyInflation

marketselected outcome

4.50%+

rank #1

India

89¢

▲ 3.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$11.4k

vol 24h

spread

0.05

ends

Jan 12, 2027

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf

timeline

opened · Feb 9, 2026opencloses · Jan 12, 2027

prices over time · 4.50%+ highlighted

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

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