Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
As of 14:47 UTC on 8 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?” at 46% (-4pp in 24h). The market has $7.9k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Myriad.
If Democrats win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution. If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins. For referenda, the specified option must achieve the required threshold. For indirect elections, the ultimate officeholder matters, not intermediate selectors. Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date. Annulled elections remain open until re-run. Death after election but before taking office still counts as a win. In case of ties, the winner through the jurisdiction's tiebreak mechanism prevails. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
