Will Democrats sweep the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections?
·Politics## **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 3, 2026 at 1:00 AM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 3, 2026 at 1:00 AM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** The outcome will be determined after Market Close, once the 2026 US Midterm Elections results are officially confirmed by the market resolution sources. ## **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to **“Yes”** if the Democratic Party controls **both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate** following the 2026 United States midterm elections. - Resolves to **“No”** if the Democratic Party does not control both chambers after the elections. ## **Resolution Criteria:** - For the purposes of this market, a “Democratic sweep” means the Democratic Party controls both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate following the election. - A party will be considered to have control of the House of Representatives if it wins a majority of voting seats. - A party will be considered to have control of the Senate if it holds: - More than half of the voting Senate seats, or - Half of the seats plus the Vice President, who can cast tie-breaking votes. - A candidate’s party affiliation will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation at the time the election results are conclusively called by the resolution sources. - Candidates without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican Parties will be considered aligned with the party they most recently expressed intent to caucus with at the time results are finalized. - If control of the House remains ambiguous, the market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the U.S. House selected following the 2026 midterm elections. - If control of the Senate remains ambiguous, the market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Senate Majority Leader selected following the elections. ## **Resolution Details:** - This market will resolve once all the following sources have conclusively called winners determining control of the House and Senate. - Reuters - Associated Press - Fox News - If the three sources **do not reach consensus**, this market will resolve according to the **official certification of election results**. ## **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions** - The 2026 U.S. midterm elections are not held. - Determining control of Congress becomes impossible due to extraordinary circumstances preventing certification or recognition of results. - Myriad Markets undergoes a major technical or contractual change requiring cancellation of active markets. If canceled, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation.
