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2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
·Politics·ends Feb 1, 2028vol cum
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Democrats, 8 to 10%
rank #1
United States
25¢
▼ 1.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$41.1k
vol 24h
$9
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0.01
ends
Feb 1, 2028
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 8 and 10 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
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opened · Feb 4, 2026opencloses · Feb 1, 2028
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