event10 outcomes

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Kalshi·Politics·ends Feb 1, 2028

As of 10:26 UTC on 4 Nov 2026, “Democrats, 12 to 14%” leads “2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)” on Kalshi at 67% (+51pp in 24h), followed by “Democrats, 14 to 16%” at 30% (+24pp in 24h) and “Democrats, 8 to 10%” at 9% (-26pp in 24h), out of 10 outcomes. The event has $1.6M in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 17 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Predict and Opinion.

vol cum

$6.7M

vol 24h

$1.6M

outcomes

ends

Feb 1, 2028

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

Democrats, 12 to 14%

rank #1

United States

67¢

▲ 51.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$577.7k

vol 24h

$129.3k

spread

0.03

ends

Feb 1, 2028

If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 12 and 14 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Feb 4, 2026opencloses · Feb 1, 2028

Democrats, 12 to 14% · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history