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2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
·Elections·ends Feb 3, 2027vol cum
$1k
vol 24h
$1k
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Feb 3, 2027
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Democrats, ≥2%
rank #1
United States
87¢
▲ 87.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$1k
vol 24h
$1k
spread
0.01
ends
Feb 3, 2027
If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 2 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
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opened · Sep 15, 2026opencloses · Feb 3, 2027
Democrats, ≥2% · prices over time
−24h
now
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