event13 outcomes

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)

Kalshi·Elections·ends Feb 3, 2027

As of 03:27 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 13 markets in “2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)” on Kalshi are “Democrats, ≥2%” at 98%, “Democrats, ≥4%” at 95% and “Democrats, ≥6%” at 90%. The event has $7.9k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

vol cum

$83.2k

vol 24h

$7.9k

outcomes

ends

Feb 3, 2027

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showing 5 of 13

marketselected outcome

Democrats, ≥2%

rank #1

United States

98¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$16.1k

vol 24h

$7.5k

spread

0.04

ends

Feb 3, 2027

If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 2 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 15, 2026opencloses · Feb 3, 2027

Democrats, ≥2% · prices over time

−24h

now

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