What is the current probability for "2026 Midterms: House Turnout"?

Current Polymarket odds for "2026 Midterms: House Turnout": 120-125m 32%, 130m+ 31%, <85m 21% (top 3 of 12 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 11/3/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/217635. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event12 outcomes

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

Q: When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 11/3/2026.

Q: How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Q: Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/217635. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2026

vol cum

$7.4k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 12

Electionsvoteshouse of representativesMidtermsmidtermUS ElectionCongressPolitics

marketselected outcome

120-125m

rank #1

United States

32¢

▲ 4.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$408

vol 24h

spread

0.41

ends

Nov 3, 2026

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

timeline

opened · Feb 20, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2026

prices over time · 120-125m highlighted

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