Democratic Senate primaries: progressives sweep?
·ElectionsIf ALL of the following Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primary elections: Juliana Stratton in Illinois, Graham Platner in Maine, Mallory McMorrow OR Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota, and Ed Markey in Massachusetts, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution. If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins. For referenda, the specified option must achieve the required threshold. For indirect elections, the ultimate officeholder matters, not intermediate selectors. Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date. Annulled elections remain open until re-run. Death after election but before taking office still counts as a win. In case of ties, the winner through the jurisdiction's tiebreak mechanism prevails. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
