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US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026
·Economy·ends Aug 6, 2026vol cum
$25.3k
vol 24h
$49
outcomes
5
ends
Aug 6, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Above 5%
rank #1
United States
92¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$7.6k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.03
ends
Aug 6, 2026
If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · May 4, 2026opencloses · Aug 6, 2026
Above 5% · prices over time
−24h
now
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