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Midterms: which party wins independents?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Feb 4, 2027

As of 06:56 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, “Democratic party” leads “Midterms: which party wins independents?” on Kalshi at 98% (+17pp in 24h), followed by “Republican party” at 2% (-7pp in 24h), out of 2 outcomes. The event has $224 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
$9k
vol 24h
$224
outcomes
2
ends
Feb 4, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Democratic party
rank #1
United States
98¢
▲ 17.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$2k
vol 24h
$198
spread
0.02
ends
Feb 4, 2027

If the Democratic Party wins independents in the 2026 United States midterm elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Sep 17, 2026opencloses · Feb 4, 2027
Democratic party · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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