event4 outcomes

How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Apr 3, 2027

As of 08:13 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?” on Kalshi are “At least 2” at 12%, “At least 3” at 6% and “At least 4” at 4%. The event has $98 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

vol cum

$2.9k

vol 24h

$98

outcomes

ends

Apr 3, 2027

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marketselected outcome

At least 2

rank #1

United States

12¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$200

vol 24h

spread

0.96

ends

Apr 3, 2027

If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 2 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 12, 2026opencloses · Apr 3, 2027

At least 2 · prices over time

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