What is the current probability for "Will the filibuster be weakened?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Will the filibuster be weakened?": Before January 20, 2029 31%, Before 2028 17%, Before 2027 5% (top 3 of 3 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 20, 2029.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXFBUSTER-26JAN01. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event3 outcomes

Will the filibuster be weakened?

·Politics·ends Jan 20, 2029

vol cum

$50.3k

vol 24h

$10.9k

outcomes

ends

Jan 20, 2029

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Before January 20, 2029

rank #1

United States

31¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.8k

vol 24h

spread

0.05

ends

Jan 20, 2029

If there is a change in U.S. Senate rules or precedent that lowers the threshold for cloture for any legislative action whose threshold for cloture at time of Issuance is three-fifths of all Senators duly chosen and sworn before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Mar 30, 2026opencloses · Jan 20, 2029

Before January 20, 2029 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history