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Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

vol cum
$560.7k
vol 24h
$4
outcomes
4
ends
Mar 31, 2026
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CongressTrumpSenatePoliticsTrump PresidencyGov Shutdown
marketselected outcome
December 31, 2026
rank #1
United States

6¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$5.8k
vol 24h
$4
spread
0.02
ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
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opened · Jan 2, 2026closedresolved · Mar 31, 2026
December 31, 2026 · prices over time
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