event4 outcomes

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 22:57 UTC on 2 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31, 2026” at 11% (-1pp in 24h), “October 31” at 0% and “December 31” at 0%. The event has $7 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Polymarket and Myriad.

vol cum

$562.6k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

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CongressTrumpSenatePoliticsTrump PresidencyGov Shutdown

marketselected outcome

December 31, 2026

rank #1

United States

11¢

▼ 0.8pp

24h change

vol cum

$7.7k

vol 24h

spread

0.14

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.

timeline

opened · Jan 2, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

December 31, 2026 · prices over time

−24h

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