What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop?

“Specific cause confirmed” 93%, “Contractor failure” 90% and “System failure” 79% (-20pp in 24h) on Kalshi as of 00:40 UTC on 14 Nov 2026: the highest-priced of the 13 markets in “What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop?”. The event has $288.3k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.

Kalshi·Politics·ends Dec 8, 2026

event13 outcomes

vol cum

$295.2k

vol 24h

$288.3k

outcomes

13

ends

Dec 8, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 13

marketselected outcome

Specific cause confirmed

rank #1

93¢

▲ 93.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$28.7k

vol 24h

$28.6k

spread

0.02

ends

Dec 8, 2026

If a Source Agency confirms after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026 that a specific identified malfunction, error, damage or other event caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Nov 13, 2026opencloses · Dec 8, 2026

Specific cause confirmed · prices over time

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Polymarket

What technical failure caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop?

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Manifold

What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on November 13, 2026?

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M37.1k 24h · 9 markets

Kalshi

When will the FAA announce the ground stop is lifted?

Before Nov 13, 10:00 PM EST17¢▲ 17.0ppBefore Nov 14, 12:00 AM EST33¢▲ 33.0ppBefore Nov 13, 8:00 PM EST2¢▲ 2.0pp

$2.1M 24h · 45 markets

Polymarket

Nationwide ground stop lifted by...?

November 13, 8:00 PM ET6¢▼ 22.0ppNovember 13, 6:00 PM ET0¢▼ 2.3ppNovember 13, 10:00 PM ET33¢▼ 9.0pp

$846.9k 24h · 12 markets

Manifold

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.92¢· 0.0ppDesign/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.20¢· 0.0ppMaintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.5¢· 0.0pp

M0 24h · 3 markets

Kalshi

Bryan Bedford out as FAA Administrator?

Before Nov 20, 202610¢▲ 10.0ppBefore Jan 1, 202735¢▲ 35.0ppBefore Dec 1, 20260¢· 0.0pp

$670 24h · 3 markets

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