marketsingle market
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
·Climate and Weather35%
▲ 2.4pp
24h change
vol cum
$202.8k
vol 24h
$1.8k
spread
0.02
ends
Apr 1, 2027
Yes 35¢
No 65¢
If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027
timeline
opened · Nov 9, 2025opencloses · Apr 1, 2027
