marketsingle market
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
64%
▼ 0.7pp
24h change
vol cum
M24.4k
vol 24h
M2
spread
n/a
ends
Feb 28, 2027
YES 64¢
NO 36¢
Average global land & ocean surface temperature, measured by NOAA [image]Update 2026-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If NOAA ranks 2026 as a tie for hottest year on record, the market will resolve 50/50.
timeline
opened · Jan 14, 2026opencloses · Feb 28, 2027
