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Will a new 'Highest Air Temperature on Earth' record be set this decade
Manifold·Science and Technology
As of 11:33 UTC on 14 Jun 2026, Manifold prices “Will a new 'Highest Air Temperature on Earth' record be set this decade” at 42%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Kalshi and Opinion.

42%
vol cum
M23.8k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2029
YES 42¢
NO 58¢
record at time of market creation: 56.7°C (134°F) https://wmo.asu.edu/content/world-highest-temperature
timeline
opened · Apr 5, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2029