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Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India?

Kalshi·Politics
India

As of 01:01 UTC on 13 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India?” at 37% (+37pp in 24h). The market has $3k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Limitless and Opinion.

37%
▲ 37.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$3k
vol 24h
$3k
spread
0.05
ends
Jan 8, 2027
Yes 37¢
No 63¢

If Gyanesh Kumar leaves as Chief Election Commissioner of India before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Gyanesh Kumar must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure and the natural expiration of a term. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.

timeline
opened · Oct 12, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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