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event2 outcomes

WA-05 House winner?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 15:32 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, “Michael Baumgartner” leads “WA-05 House winner?” on Kalshi at 87% (-1pp in 24h), followed by “Carmela Conroy” at 15% (+4pp in 24h), out of 2 outcomes. The event has $6.5k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini.

vol cum

$123.2k

vol 24h

$6.5k

outcomes

2

ends

Nov 3, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Michael Baumgartner

rank #1

United States

87¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$62.2k

vol 24h

$2.7k

spread

0.01

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the House member sworn in for WA-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jan 7, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Michael Baumgartner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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