pdatanews303
event8 outcomes

WA-05 House Election Winner

Polymarket·Politics·ends Nov 4, 2026

As of 23:59 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, “Michael Baumgartner (R)” leads “WA-05 House Election Winner” on Polymarket at 84%, followed by “Carmela Conroy (D)” at 15% (-3pp in 24h), out of 8 outcomes. The event has $4.1k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Gemini and Kalshi.

vol cum
$104.5k
vol 24h
$4.1k
outcomes
8
ends
Nov 4, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8
PoliticsElectionsNov 4 ElectionsMidtermsHouse ElectionsWashington MidtermUS ElectionTossup House Races
marketselected outcome
Michael Baumgartner (R)
rank #1
United States
84¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$34.8k
vol 24h
$1.4k
spread
0.02
ends
Nov 4, 2026

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

timeline
opened · Jan 28, 2026opencloses · Nov 4, 2026
Michael Baumgartner (R) · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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