What is the current probability for "Hurricane Bertha category?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Hurricane Bertha category?": Category 1 or above 4%, Category 2 or above 1%, Category 3 or above 1% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 12/2/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXHURCAT-26BERTHA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event5 outcomes

Hurricane Bertha category?

·Climate and Weather·ends Dec 2, 2026

vol cum

$51.1k

vol 24h

$51.1k

outcomes

ends

Dec 2, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Category 1 or above

rank #1

4¢

▲ 4.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$9.9k

vol 24h

$9.9k

spread

0.01

ends

Dec 2, 2026

If Bertha reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 20, 2026opencloses · Dec 2, 2026

Category 1 or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history