Natural Disaster in 2026?
As of 19:33 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Natural Disaster in 2026?” at 13% (+1pp in 24h). The market has $146 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
