marketsingle market
Natural Disaster in 2026?

12%
▼ 5.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$245.8k
vol 24h
$367
spread
0.02
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 12¢
No 88¢
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
ParlayshurricanenasaastroidScienceearthquakeWeatherclimate
timeline
opened · Dec 31, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027