What is the current probability for "Baragiola Mordini vs Serafini"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Baragiola Mordini vs Serafini": Marcello Serafini 60%, Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 41% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/17/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26AUG03BARSER. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Baragiola Mordini vs Serafini

·Sports·ends Aug 17, 2026

vol cum

$44.9k

vol 24h

$44.9k

outcomes

ends

Aug 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Marcello Serafini

rank #1

60¢

▲ 60.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$7.6k

vol 24h

$7.6k

spread

0.03

ends

Aug 17, 2026

If Marcello Serafini wins the Baragiola Mordini vs Serafini professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Fano Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 3, 2026opencloses · Aug 17, 2026

Marcello Serafini · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Baragiola Mordini vs Serafini

·Sports·ends Aug 17, 2026

vol cum

$44.9k

vol 24h

$44.9k

outcomes

ends

Aug 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Marcello Serafini

rank #1

60¢

▲ 60.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$7.6k

vol 24h

$7.6k

spread

0.03

ends

Aug 17, 2026

If Marcello Serafini wins the Baragiola Mordini vs Serafini professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Fano Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 3, 2026opencloses · Aug 17, 2026

Marcello Serafini · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.