What is the current probability for "Baragiola Mordini vs Castagnola"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Baragiola Mordini vs Castagnola": Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 99%, Luca Castagnola 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 17, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP03BARCAS. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Baragiola Mordini vs Castagnola

·Sports·ends Sep 17, 2026

vol cum

$132k

vol 24h

$131.6k

outcomes

ends

Sep 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$66.8k

vol 24h

$66.4k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 17, 2026

If Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini wins the Baragiola Mordini vs Castagnola professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Bologna Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 2, 2026closedresolved · Sep 3, 2026

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.