What is the current probability for "Muramatsu vs Kawagishi"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Muramatsu vs Kawagishi": Chihiro Muramatsu 99%, Nana Kawagishi 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 21, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26SEP07MURKAW. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Muramatsu vs Kawagishi

·Sports·ends Sep 21, 2026

vol cum

$152.5k

vol 24h

$152.5k

outcomes

ends

Sep 21, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Chihiro Muramatsu

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$71k

vol 24h

$71k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 21, 2026

If Chihiro Muramatsu wins the Muramatsu vs Kawagishi professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Yeongwol Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 7, 2026closedresolved · Sep 7, 2026

Chihiro Muramatsu · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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