event8 outcomes

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?

Kalshi·Politics·ends Jan 8, 2029

As of 08:01 UTC on 31 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 8 markets in “Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?” on Kalshi are “Before Jul 1, 2028” at 81%, “Before Jan 1, 2029” at 76% and “Before Jan 1, 2028” at 35%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Opinion and Gemini.

vol cum

$26.7k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jan 8, 2029

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

marketselected outcome

Before Jul 1, 2028

rank #1

Germany

81¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$505

vol 24h

spread

0.09

ends

Jul 8, 2028

If Friedrich Merz has either officially announced their intention to leave as Chancellor of Germany or has actually left as Chancellor of Germany before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 17, 2026opencloses · Jul 8, 2028

Before Jul 1, 2028 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history