event7 outcomes

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2028

As of 15:24 UTC on 31 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 7 markets in “Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31, 2027” at 38% (-1pp in 24h), “June 30, 2027” at 25% (-1pp in 24h) and “March 31, 2027” at 12% (+1pp in 24h). The event has $10.7k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum

$3.1M

vol 24h

$10.7k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2028

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showing 5 of 7

PoliticsGermanyWorld

marketselected outcome

December 31, 2027

rank #1

Germany

38¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$13.4k

vol 24h

$844

spread

0.02

ends

Jan 1, 2028

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

timeline

opened · Oct 5, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2028

December 31, 2027 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history