pdatanews281
event9 outcomes

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 08:54 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “Lecornu out as French PM by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31, 2026” at 20% (-2pp in 24h), “October 31, 2026” at 2% (-2pp in 24h) and “July 31, 2026” at 0%. The event has $157 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

vol cum
$366.5k
vol 24h
$157
outcomes
9
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9

On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

PoliticsFranceWorldFrench ElectionFrench ElectionsFrance Riots
marketselected outcome
December 31, 2026
rank #1
France
20¢
▼ 2.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$26.4k
vol 24h
$72
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline
opened · Dec 4, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
December 31, 2026 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata