Lecornu out as French PM by...?
As of 08:54 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “Lecornu out as French PM by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31, 2026” at 20% (-2pp in 24h), “October 31, 2026” at 2% (-2pp in 24h) and “July 31, 2026” at 0%. The event has $157 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.