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marketsingle market

Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?

Kalshi·Elections
Canada
14%
4.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$9.2k
vol 24h
$50
spread
0.05
ends
Jan 8, 2027
Yes 14¢
No 86¢

If Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership. An announcement of future resignation counts for resolution even before it takes effect. This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership. Death triggers special settlement at last traded prices. Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify. The market is about party leadership positions, not government positions - a leader can resign from government while remaining party leader or vice versa.

timeline
opened · Jan 3, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2027
Before 2027 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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