Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
As of 08:48 UTC on 24 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?” at 12%. The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Limitless.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.