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event17 outcomes
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026
vol cum
$2.6k
vol 24h
$2.6k
outcomes
17
ends
Jan 15, 2027
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Above 59.00%
rank #1
United States
87¢
▲ 87.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$1k
vol 24h
$1k
spread
0.02
ends
Jan 15, 2027
If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2026 is above 59.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Sep 3, 2026opencloses · Jan 15, 2027
Above 59.00% · prices over time
−24h
now
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similar markets
suggested by pdataUS labor force participation rate at year-end 2026
61.0% to 61.4%32¢· 0.0pp61.5% to 61.9%30¢· 0.0pp60.5% to 60.9%18¢· 0.0pp
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US economic state at the end of 2026?
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)0¢· 0.0ppSoft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)57¢▼ 1.5ppOverheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)41¢▲ 3.0pp
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US GDP Growth in 2026?
4.6 to 5.093¢4.1 to 4.593¢3.6 to 4.045¢
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$0 24h · 10 markets
US recession in 2026?
yes8¢
M0 24h · 1 market
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2036
Above 56.00%0¢· 0.0ppAbove 56.50%0¢· 0.0ppAbove 57.00%0¢· 0.0pp
+14 others
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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
6.0%6¢▼ 1.0pp7.0%5¢▼ 0.3pp5.0%8¢▼ 0.2pp
+2 others
$1.2k 24h · 5 markets