AI agents: pdata is read-only prediction-market data across 8 platforms. Agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md Verbose index: https://pdata.world/llms-full.txt OpenAPI: https://api.pdata.world/openapi.json MCP server: https://api.pdata.world/mcp MCP descriptor: https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/mcp-info
p
|
data
v0.1
news
229
Home
Markets
Hubs
Odds
News
229
Map
Monitor
clean
paper
mono
sign in
Best AI in Aug 2026? · Gemini 90% — Kalshi odds
markets
·
Science and Technology
·
Part of: AI Model Odds →
open
trade on
↗
event
7 outcomes
Best AI in Aug 2026?
·
Science and Technology
·
ends Oct 1, 2026
B
vol cum
$2.8k
vol 24h
$2.8k
outcomes
7
ends
Oct 1, 2026
outcomes
click to inspect →
G
Gemini
90¢
▲ 90.0
pp
C
Claude
89¢
▲ 89.0
pp
Q
Qwen
1¢
▲ 1.0
pp
M
Muse
1¢
▲ 1.0
pp
K
Kimi
1¢
▲ 1.0
pp
showing 5 of 7
see 2 more ↓
market
selected outcome
Gemini
rank #1
G
90¢
▲ 90.0
pp
24h change
vol cum
$537
vol 24h
$537
spread
0.56
ends
Oct 1, 2026
If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened
· Jul 29, 2026
open
closes
· Oct 1, 2026
Gemini · prices over time
24h
7d
30d
all
−24h
now
volume · by outcome
hover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdata
kalshi
Best AI in Jul 2026?
ChatGPT
1
¢
· 0.0
pp
Claude
99
¢
· 0.0
pp
Grok
1
¢
· 0.0
pp
+4 others
$4.4k 24h · 7 markets
manifold
Best AI time horizon by August 2026, per METR?
>=24 hours
56
¢
· 0.0
pp
16 to 24 hours
41
¢
· 0.0
pp
12 to 16 hours
1
¢
· 0.0
pp
+3 others
M0 24h · 6 markets
polymarket
Best AI model on August 1?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
0
¢
▼ 0.5
pp
Other
99
¢
▲ 0.4
pp
claude-fable-5
1
¢
· 0.0
pp
+1 others
$6.3k 24h · 4 markets
kalshi
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
64
¢
▲ 0.1
pp
Muse Spark
3
¢
▼ 0.3
pp
Kimi
3
¢
▼ 1.0
pp
+5 others
$38.8k 24h · 8 markets
manifold
Which "AI 2027" predictions will be right by Late 2026?
1e27 FLOP public model by EOY 2025
16
¢
▼ 1.9
pp
Mainstream narrative shift
75
¢
▲ 2.2
pp
AIs can do everything taught by a CS degree
44
¢
▼ 4.6
pp
+2 others
M90 24h · 5 markets
polymarket
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Google
12
¢
· 0.0
pp
Anthropic
67
¢
▼ 1.0
pp
xAI
3
¢
▲ 0.1
pp
+23 others
$4.1k 24h · 26 markets
+6 more