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Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?

Kalshi·Elections
United States

As of 03:11 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?” at 2%. The market has $57 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

2%
▲ 0.2pp
24h change
vol cum
$55.2k
vol 24h
$57
spread
0.02
ends
Jan 8, 2027
Yes 2¢
No 99¢

If the Republican Party loses majority control of the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Feb 11, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2027
Republican Party · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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